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Monday, Feb. 16, 2009

UT Blog: Vols’ tournament stance becoming more firm

Resume in brief

RECORD = 16-8, 7-3 Southeastern Conference.

POLLS = Unranked.

RPI = No. 18 (out of 343 teams).

STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE = No. 3.

KEN POMEROY RANKING = No. 32.

Great wins (top 25 RPI)

No. 24 Marquette (neutral site)

Good wins (26-75 RPI)

No. 37 Georgetown (neutral site)

No. 31 Siena (neutral site)

No. 42 South Carolina

No. 45 Florida

OK losses (top 75 RPI)

No. 27 Gonzaga (neutral site)

at No. 34 Temple

at No. 12 Kansas

No. 27 Gonzaga

No. 59 Kentucky

No. 7 Memphis

No. 41 LSU

Bad losses (sub-75 RPI)

No. 93 Auburn

Terrible losses (sub-150 RPI)

(none)

Mediocre wins (sub-75 RPI)

No. 184 UTC

No. 125 UT-Martin

at No. 158 Middle Tennessee State

No. 203 UNC Asheville

No. 115 Belmont

No. 248 Louisiana-Lafayette

at No. 192 Georgia

at No. 100 Vanderbilt

at No. 120 Arkansas

No. 192 Georgia

No. 100 Vanderbilt

On the horizon

at No. 68 Ole Miss

at No. 59 Kentucky

No. 85 Mississippi State

at No. 45 Florida

at No. 42 South Carolina

No. 146 Alabama

SEC tournament

Bracket projections

Joe Lunardi, ESPN.com — No. 6 seed, Midwest Regional

Andy Glockner, SI.com — No. 8 seed, West Regional

Jeff Goodman, FoxSports.com — No. 9 seed, South Regional

Jerry Palm, CollegeRPI.com — No. 9 seed, East Regional (before last week’s two victories)

KNOXVILLE — The University of Tennessee men’s basketball team has put itself in position to salvage a solid seed in this season’s NCAA tournament.

The Volunteers handled Southeastern Conference rivals Georgia and Vanderbilt last week, and those decisive victories helped bump their CollegeRPI.com Ratings Percentage Index spot to No. 18.

UT just completed its easiest stretch in conference play, and the Vols still stand No. 3 nationally in strength of schedule. That number shouldn’t dip much (if any) down the stretch, considering four of UT’s final six regular-season games come on the road against teams with RPIs of No. 68 or higher.

Statistically speaking, the Vols are being rewarded for playing tough opponents at home, on the road and at neutral sites this season. Their schedule strength is even more impressive, considering the SEC’s mediocre-at-best performance to this point.

UT is by no means an NCAA tournament lock, but I think a 3-3 finish would probably be enough. That would leave the Vols 19-11 (10-6 SEC), and that combined with a solid RPI and good nonconference wins would probably get it done. If they leave the SEC tournament with 20 or more wins, I’d be very surprised to see them on the bubble’s bad side.

Here’s this week’s “Bubble Breakdown” statistics. I’ll keep tweaking and adding to the figures on this list in the coming weeks, and I welcome readers’ suggestions.

All RPI rankings listed to the right come from realtimerpi.com.

Read Tuesday’s Times Free Press for more information.

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