Downgrade of U.S. credit rating could hurt state, experts warn

NASHVILLE - The decision by Standard & Poor's to downgrade the U.S. government's credit rating could affect future borrowing for states like Tennessee, which depend heavily on federal spending, experts say.

The credit rating agency lowered the U.S.'s triple-A credit rating to "AA+," citing disappointment with the debt-ceiling deal Congress approved last week.

Even before Friday's action, Tennessee officials were preparing to travel to New York to defend the state's triple-A credit rating with analysts from Moody's Investors Service, another major rating company.

Moody's on Thursday reaffirmed triple-A ratings for Tennessee and four other states it had put on a credit watch for potential downgrades if a federal default occurred. But the ratings agency also slapped Tennessee and the others with "negative" outlooks because of the volatile situation in Washington.

In an e-mail Saturday, state Treasurer David Lillard said he doesn't think S&P's action should hurt Tennessee's rating.

"First, Tennessee is rated AA+ by S&P with a positive outlook," he said. "Tennessee has excellent fiscal discipline and has a low amount of debt. The United States government has neither of these characteristics."

But Moody's analyst Nick Samuels said last week, before Congress passed debt-ceiling legislation, that the agency's perspective is whether a state could have a higher credit rating than the U.S.

"We're suggesting that globally there are very few circumstance around the world where subsovereigns [governments below the national level] have higher ratings than their parent, largely because the parent creates the economic and financial environment in which that entity exists," he said.

For complete coverage, read Sunday's Times Free Press.

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