published Thursday, September 22nd, 2011

Slow job growth in Tennessee will keep unemployment above 9% through 2013

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    Matt Murray, associate director of the Center for Business and Economic Research of the University of Tennessee

Unemployment in Tennessee will stay at or above 9 percent through 2013, according to the latest economic forecast released today by the University of Tennessee.

After shedding jobs in 2009 and 2010, the UT Center for Business and Economic Research estimates employment will grow by 0.8 percent this year, by 1 percent next year and by 1.1 percent in 2013.

Such growth is well below the pattern of previous economic recoveries and the new forecast is less robust than what state economists previously projected.

"Economic growth has slowed but has not stalled," said Matt Murray, associate director for the Center for Business and Economic Research and author of the study. "A slight pickup in growth is anticipated in the third and fourth quarters, but annualized growth will come in at a disappointing rate for the year as a whole. The outlook for 2012 is only slightly better."

The number of Tennesseans on the job will remain below the peak reached in 2007 for at least another two years, Murray said.

“It will be 2013 before employment returns to the levels that prevailed prior to the recession,” he said.

Tennessee's unemployment rate will continue to be above the U.S. average for the next year, Murray said.

Manufacturing will enjoy short-term employment gains particularly in the durable goods sector. This is largely due to steady improvement in the transportation equipment industry, including new jobs created by Volkswagen.

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about Dave Flessner...

Dave Flessner is the business editor for the Times Free Press. A journalist for 35 years, Dave has been business editor and projects editor for the Chattanooga Times Free Press, city editor for The Chattanooga Times, business and county reporter for the Chattanooga Times, correspondent for the Lansing State Journal and Ingham County News in Michigan, staff writer for the Hastings Daily Tribune in Nebraska, and news director for WCBN-FM in Michigan. Dave, a native ...

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sig4ever2 said...

Attention law school students! Great opportunities for study in the bankruptcy industry! I'll go ahead and beat the Democrats, liberals, and progressives, and proclaim it to be all George Bush's fault. All of the thousands of new regulations that take effect after the first of the year thanks to Dodd-Frank, and Obamacare will likely push recovery out until 2020 if we are lucky. Too much regulatory uncertainty for CEO's to plan for anything but survival right now.

September 22, 2011 at 1:46 p.m.
rolando said...

After our Legislature gets through with Amazon, there will be 2,500 fewer jobs here...and 2,500 more in some other state.

Let's hear it for the job-killing Legislature. Brrrrzzzzzt.

September 22, 2011 at 6:53 p.m.
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September 22, 2011 at 7:12 p.m.
janetorona said...

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September 23, 2011 at 7:04 a.m.
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