We all know that Democrat President Barack Obama is running for a second term in the White House. He wants to stay there.
But we all know, too, that Republican Mitt Romney would like to move into 1600 Pennsylvania Ave.
So, what are the prospects for the next inhabitant of the White House?
We won't know, for sure, for a while. The American people will decide in November. But what are the current indications -- which, of course, could change drastically in the next few months?
Well, polls now are providing some encouragement for Romney. But Obama knows that incumbency has tremendous potential.
A recent Gallup poll on the presidential prospects has shown Romney edging Obama out!
But the indicated margin for Romney is very small. He was favored by 47 percent of prospective voters polled. That, obviously is not more than half, not a majority. But Obama, according to the Gallup survey, is favored by only 45 percent of prospective voters.
With pollsters warning there's a potential "statistical margin of error of 3 percentage points," the current figures don't assure what the real vote outcome will be.
Romney and his supporters surely are encouraged. But Obama and his backers haven't given up.
Nobody can predict what events in world affairs, what positive events, or what mistakes may determine the outcome of the election. Will one or the other candidate do or say something that will prove decisive?
Romney is looking for a vice presidential running mate. Who will he pick? Will the choice be positive or someone who is a drag on the ticket?
We'll have to wait to see, watching with a great deal of interest -- with the unknowns possibly determining the November outcome.
But obviously, whatever happens, the choice of our next president will be very, very important to our whole country and to us individually.
We will have four years to live with our decision, and the winner's decisions.
We know a lot about Obama and Romney. But what don't we know yet? What events, what new issues, what voter emotions will determine the leadership of our great nation for four more years?
This is a very serious business, isn't it? And "we, the people" have the right to decide, and the responsibility for, the ultimate result.
That's awesome, isn't it?
There's another problem with the Gallup poll. The sample they used may not be representative of the electorate.
Well, that, and the presidential election isn't conducted across the nation. I think I saw a calculation that as low as 32% of the vote could swing the election thanks to the electoral college.
Polls have been all over the place. Polls show Romney trailing with women voters by 16 points and with Hispanics by as much as 50 points. Obviously that isn't consistent with a dead heat or a Romney lead. Romney also is way behind the President in favorability, but has a small edge on the economy.
So to answer the question "What events, what new issues, what voter emotions will determine the leadership of our great nation for four more years?"
Two things. The Billion dollars the Republicans will spend on negative ads and the The Billion dollars Democrats will also spend.
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