Gang we've developed a few hard and fast entertainment guidelines through the years.
You know to buy the half on games with spread of 3 and 7. You know, like Coach Finstock told us, never play cards with someone nicknamed after a city. And we all know that lines that look too good to be true generally are.
That's where we are with Tennessee plus-7.5 at home against Georgia.
You have to think that Tennessee played about as bad a game possible last week, and that Georgia played almost spotless football.
So the freshest relocations call for a Georgia runaway. And it may be that, because that Bulldogs defense arrives quickly, with a nasty attitude and normally brings friends.
Still, the closer we get to kickoff, we believe Georgia is better and will win. But that line screams chicken liver to catfish and we can't help but look back to rule 3 and wonder if this is a one-score game.
To the picks.
USC minus-3.5 over Washington State. We're buying the half to get to the even field goal, but man this moment feels to big for the Pirate Mike Leach's bunch. Know this: Washington State has not beaten a ranked team at home since 2006, USC has won 13 consecutive games and each of its five trips to Pullman. Yes, the home 'dog catching points can be scary, but WSU's 4-0 start is a facade built on the Oregon States, Montana States and Boise States of the world.
Minnesota minus-12.5 over Maryland. OK, when you think storied Big Ten rivalries, Ohio State-Michigan is easily No. 1, and the Minnesota-Maryland square-off is clearly not in the top 20. Still here's what we know, and we like all of these prospects: We love Minnesota coach P.J. Fleck, who built Western Michigan before coming to the Gophers; we love that Minnesota was off last week; and we love going against third-string quarterbacks on the road, the situation Maryland finds itself in after losing freshman Kasim Hill last week. So the Terrapins hit the road to a load and amped up Minnesota setting and turn to sophomore Max Bortenschlager to make his second career start. Yes please.
Washington minus-26 over Oregon State. There has been some groaning about the 4-0 start for the Huskies because they have not really clicked. Is that a cause for pause for an experienced team that made the college football playoff last year? Potentially. And yes, this is Washington almost giving four-touchdowns on the road. But we believe that a) Washington is pretty legit, and more importantly, b) Oregon State is one of the three worst Power Five teams in America. When you check the scroll and it's Washington 45, Oregon State 3 to start the fourth, offer a little silent nod to entertainment hunter.
Oklahoma State minus-8.5 over Texas Tech. This is a monster game for the home-standing Techsters. The Red Raiders are 3-0, but is that a real mark with wins over Eastern Washington, a woeful Arizona State team and a distracted Houston? Oklahoma State had its guts ripped out last week and here's a bet the Fighting Gundy Mullets come out nasty.
Navy minus-7 over Tulsa. But the half to be safe, and let's do some math. Navy is in the top 25 in yards per play at 6.9 per snap. Naturally, almost all of them — 192 of the 217 Navy offensive plays — have been runs. Conversely, Tulsa is 129th in yards allowed per play at 8.5 yards per snap. Want more? Tulsa's run defense has allowed 1,178 yards in 170 carries and ranks 125th nationally. Clearly this is not a good fit for Tulsa. (But don't go getting spoiled by all this research people.)
Last week: 3-3 against the spread (50 percent)
This season: 14-7 against the spread (66.7 percent)