MAC, Big Ten moves might be beginning of end for college football this fall

AP photo by Charlie Neibergall / Iowa running back Mekhi Sargent tries to break a tackle by Miami (Ohio) defensive back Emmanuel Rugamba on Aug. 31, 2019, in Iowa City. Both the Big Ten Conference, which Iowa is a member of, and the Mid-American Conference, to which Miami belongs, made announcements Saturday that could be considered ominous for the prospect of any college football being played this fall.
AP photo by Charlie Neibergall / Iowa running back Mekhi Sargent tries to break a tackle by Miami (Ohio) defensive back Emmanuel Rugamba on Aug. 31, 2019, in Iowa City. Both the Big Ten Conference, which Iowa is a member of, and the Mid-American Conference, to which Miami belongs, made announcements Saturday that could be considered ominous for the prospect of any college football being played this fall.

In many ways, the Mid-American Conference has little in common with the Power Five leagues that first come to mind when fans think of major college football.

There are no 75,000-seat stadiums in the MAC. Million-dollar per year coaches are rare. In a typical season, NFL scouts might find one or two potential first-round draft picks playing at the 12 MAC schools that dot the Midwest. The MAC's biggest games - #MACtion, if you will - are often played on Tuesday and Wednesday nights. Its television deal with ESPN pays per year only a few million more than the $9 million Clemson pays coach Dabo Swinney.

Still, the MAC is one of 10 conferences that compete in the NCAA's highest level of football, and Saturday it became the first of those to surrender to the coronavirus pandemic and cancel the fall sports season. So is the MAC an anomaly, done in by its small budgets, or is this a dire sign of things to come in college football?

"I won't try to judge what other folks are doing," MAC commissioner Jon Steinbrecher said. "I know we're all in the same place. They all have their advisers. They're going to make judgments based on the information they are receiving."

Not long after the MAC announced it would explore second-semester seasons for all fall sports, including soccer and volleyball, the Big Ten - part of the Power Five that also includes the Atlantic Coast, Big 12, Pac-12 and Southeastern conferences - made its own announcement that seemed ominous given the timing.

Tapping the brakes on preseason preparation for football, the Big Ten told its schools that until further notice, full-contact practices cannot begin. All teams will remain in what is known as the "acclimatization period," working out in helmets but not full pads. The first Big Ten games of the season are scheduled for Sept. 5, though the league's plan already had flexibility built in to adjust the opening date or make up other games.

"As we have consistently stated, we will continue to evaluate daily, while relying on our medical experts, to make the best decisions possible for the health, safety and wellness of our student-athletes," a Big Ten release read.

photo AP photo by Carlos Osorio / Miami (Ohio) quarterback Brett Gabbert passes during the Mid-American Conference title game against Central Michigan on Dec. 7, 2019, in Detroit. On Saturday, the MAC became the first league competing at college football's highest level to cancel its fall season because of COVID-19 concerns.

MAC schools were facing a significant financial burden by trying to maintain costly COVID-19 protocols, and they were also dealing with the uncertainty that campuses can be opened safely.

A move to the spring, however, could also be a budget-buster if it means fewer football ticket sales and less revenue from the ESPN deal, which pays each school about $1 million per year. The MAC also shares about $90 million per year in College Football Playoff money with the four other Football Bowl Subdivision leagues - American Athletic, Conference USA, Mountain West and Sun Belt - that form the Group of Five.

"It would be naive to say that you don't give thought and consideration to what the financial ramifications of any decision are, but this was a health and well-being decision first and foremost," Steinbrecher said. "As we sit here today, we don't know what this will mean financially and how the rest of the fall plays out."

Steinbrecher said the decision effects only fall sports, not basketball or others that begin in the second semester such as baseball, lacrosse and softball. He added the decision was unanimous among the membership. Northern Illinois athletic director Sean Frazier, supported by school president Lisa Freeman, has been a vocal advocate of delaying the season.

"No one wants to have football or sports more than me," said Frazier, who played football for SEC and national power Alabama in the late 1980s. "Football gave me all the opportunities I have today, but I can't do it at the expense of people's lives."

Eastern Michigan athletic director Scott Wetherbee said he has been feeling a sense of inevitability for two weeks about the MAC canceling fall football, but he can't predict whether this decision will trickle up to other conferences.

"Could it? Certainly. There's certainly a narrative out there that could happen," Wetherbee said. "No, it wouldn't shock me if some followed suit. In fact, it would shock me if some didn't."

NCAA chief medical officer Brian Hainline made clear that even though plans for the football season have been adjusted to accommodate potential COVID-19 disruptions such as the ones Major League Baseball has had, they are all still aspirational. He spoke Friday during the NCAA's weekly video chat on social media.

"Almost everything would have to be perfectly aligned," Hainline said, "to continue moving forward."

As the Power Five conferences reworked their schedules to play exclusively or mostly within their conferences, another of the MAC's revenue streams dried up.

MAC schools, with athletic budgets in the $30 million range, rely heavily on payouts from road games against power conference teams. Kent State alone had more than $5 million in so-called guarantee games canceled. Whether they can be recouped and when is still to be determined. Without that revenue, the strain became too great of trying to keep players and staff safe during a pandemic.

"Certainly there was a cost attached to it," Wetherbee said. "But as a league, we were prepared to do it."

The NCAA's Division II and Division III as well as the NAIA have already canceled championship competition for football this fall.

A move to try spring football has already been going on in the second tier of Division I.

Nine of 13 conferences that play in the Football Championship Subdivision have postponed fall football seasons. The first was the Ivy League in early July.

Now it's the MAC, which - like the Ivy League - was among the first conferences to limit fan access to its basketball tournament in March as concerns for the virus began to soar across the country. On March 12, the MAC was among many leagues to call off their tournaments hours before the NCAA canceled all of March Madness.

"If you told me in March we'd be here today," Steinbrecher said, "I'd never have believed it."

Upcoming Events