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Friday, November 13, 2026Nov 13

With economy uncertain, no Fed rate hike is seen before fall

FILE - In this March 18, 2015 file photo, Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen speaks during a news conference at the end of the Federal Open Market Committee meeting in Washington. Federal Reserve policymakers conclude their two-day meeting to set interest rates on Wednesday, April 29, 2015  (AP Photo/Kevin Wolf, File)
FILE - In this March 18, 2015 file photo, Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen speaks during a news conference at the end of the Federal Open Market Committee meeting in Washington. Federal Reserve policymakers conclude their two-day meeting to set interest rates on Wednesday, April 29, 2015 (AP Photo/Kevin Wolf, File) FILE - In this March 18, 2015 file photo, Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen speaks during a news conference at the end of the Federal Open Market Committee meeting in Washington. Federal Reserve policymakers conclude their two-day meeting to set interest rates on Wednesday, April 29, 2015 (AP Photo/Kevin Wolf, File)

WASHINGTON (AP) – For 6½ years, the Federal Reserve has held its key interest rate near zero, and for nearly that long the financial world has speculated about when the Fed will start raising it.

Don’t look for it soon.

That’s the view of most economists, who say a still-subpar economy and still-low inflation will keep rates at record lows at least until September.

On Wednesday, the Fed could clarify its plans after ending its latest policy meeting. Analysts caution, though, against expecting any specific guidance on the Fed’s timetable for a rate hike. Too many uncertainties still surround the U.S. economy. The Fed’s policymakers may want to leave themselves maneuvering room until their view of the economy’s health becomes clearer.

After its March meeting, the Fed opened the door to a rate increase this year by no longer saying it would be “patient” in starting to raise its benchmark rate. Most economists had said that dropping “patient” from its statement would mean the Fed could raise rates as soon as June – a step that would course through the economy and could slow borrowing and squeeze stocks and bonds.