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Thursday, October 29, 2026Oct 29

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The heat is on: The average MLB fastball velocity is up for the 6th straight year to 94.7 mph

Milwaukee Brewers starting pitcher Jacob Misiorowski throws during the first inning in the first game of a baseball doubleheader against the St. Louis Cardinals Tuesday, July 7, 2026, in St. Louis. (AP Photo/Jeff Roberson)
Milwaukee Brewers starting pitcher Jacob Misiorowski throws during the first inning in the first game of a baseball doubleheader against the St. Louis Cardinals Tuesday, July 7, 2026, in St. Louis. (AP Photo/Jeff Roberson) Milwaukee Brewers starting pitcher Jacob Misiorowski throws during the first inning in the first game of a baseball doubleheader against the St. Louis Cardinals Tuesday, July 7, 2026, in St. Louis. (AP Photo/Jeff Roberson)

NEW YORK (AP) — Chad Tracy notices how much baseball has changed in the 13 years since he took his last big league at-bat.

“You watch a Triple-A game, most everybody that’s coming out of the bullpen left-handed or right-handed is throwing 95-plus,” the Boston Red Sox manager said. “Back in the day, it was you’d get a lead and you’d get to the lower part of a bullpen and you’d see some guys coming out throwing 88.”

Heading into the All-Star break, velocity is on track to set a record for the sixth straight season.

Four-seam fastballs averaged 94.7 mph through Saturday, up from 94.5 mph last year, 93.7 mph in 2021 and 91.9 mph when Major League Baseball first started tracking in 2008. The average was 94.4 mph for the first half of 2025, and this year’s final figure could increase by a tick.

“Definitely expecting anybody you’ve never heard of to throw a 95-plus,” said the New York Mets’ Marcus Semien, a three-time All-Star who made his major league debut in 2013, when four-seamers averaged 92.7 mph. “Before you’d know who the guys were who were throwing 98. Now, you just expect that this new guy is probably throwing 98. So that shows how everybody’s trained.”