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Thursday, November 12, 2026Nov 12

Question mark over Erdogan as Turk parties jockey for power

Turkey's President Recep Tayyip Erdogan, waves after his speech following a traditional iftar, the first meal to break the Ramadan fast, during a visit at the Midyat refugee camp in Mardin, southeastern Turkey, near the Syrian border, Saturday, June 20, 2015. Erdogan visited the camp which is sheltering those who have fled the 4-year conflict in neighbouring Syria. The UN refugee agency has said the number of Syrian refugees seeking its help now tops two-million - and could be far higher. Turkey is the world's biggest refugee host with 1.59 million refugees, according to the most recent U.N. figures. (AP Photo/Emrah Gurel)
Turkey's President Recep Tayyip Erdogan, waves after his speech following a traditional iftar, the first meal to break the Ramadan fast, during a visit at the Midyat refugee camp in Mardin, southeastern Turkey, near the Syrian border, Saturday, June 20, 2015. Erdogan visited the camp which is sheltering those who have fled the 4-year conflict in neighbouring Syria. The UN refugee agency has said the number of Syrian refugees seeking its help now tops two-million - and could be far higher. Turkey is the world's biggest refugee host with 1.59 million refugees, according to the most recent U.N. figures. (AP Photo/Emrah Gurel) Turkey's President Recep Tayyip Erdogan, waves after his speech following a traditional iftar, the first meal to break the Ramadan fast, during a visit at the Midyat refugee camp in Mardin, southeastern Turkey, near the Syrian border, Saturday, June 20, 2015. Erdogan visited the camp which is sheltering those who have fled the 4-year conflict in neighbouring Syria. The UN refugee agency has said the number of Syrian refugees seeking its help now tops two-million - and could be far higher. Turkey is the world's biggest refugee host with 1.59 million refugees, according to the most recent U.N. figures. (AP Photo/Emrah Gurel)

ISTANBUL (AP) – Two weeks after Turkey’s parliamentary elections, experts agree on one thing: No one really knows what’s going to happen next.

Turkey’s June 7 election left Turkey’s long-ruling Justice and Development Party, known by Turkish acronym AKP, short of the majority it needs to govern alone, meaning it will have to turn to at least one of the three opposition parties to secure its hold on government.

Negotiating such a coalition will be complicated by the vitriol of the campaign, the differences between the four camps and the ambitions of President Recep Tayyip Erdogan, still a dominant force in Turkish politics despite his theoretically neutral role as head of state.

“Neither can I or anyone else make any predictions as to what’s happening,” said Ersin Kalaycioglu, a professor of Turkish politics at Sabanci University in Istanbul.

Sinan Ciddi, the director of the Institute of Turkish Studies at Georgetown University, said he wouldn’t rule out anything either.