Opinion: A ‘sure thing’ election that wasn’t

Photo by Hilary Swift/The New York Times / Dr. Mehmet Oz, the Republican candidate for the Senate, outside the polling place where he cast his ballot in Huntingdon Valley, Pa., on Tuesday, Nov. 8, 2022. By reinventing his Senate campaign after a stroke, Democrat John Fetterman ended up connecting with voters who responded to his saga of loss and comeback.
Photo by Hilary Swift/The New York Times / Dr. Mehmet Oz, the Republican candidate for the Senate, outside the polling place where he cast his ballot in Huntingdon Valley, Pa., on Tuesday, Nov. 8, 2022. By reinventing his Senate campaign after a stroke, Democrat John Fetterman ended up connecting with voters who responded to his saga of loss and comeback.

MIAMI -- If Republicans could not score their "red wave" victories predicted by many pundits -- and even some Democrats -- in these midterm elections, what's next for them? All the issues were on their side -- inflation, high gas and food prices, an open border, under-performing schools. If they couldn't win with this gale wind at their backs, on what issues can they prevail?

Voters in Pennsylvania elected John Fetterman, a hard-core leftist who believes, in the middle of a crime wave, that a lot of violent criminals should be released from prison, or not be incarcerated at all. They apparently didn't care about his inability to speak clearly due to a stroke.

One bright spot for Republicans came in Florida. Gov. Ron DeSantis and Sen. Marco Rubio had impressive nights. Both beat their opponents by nearly 20 points. DeSantis likely boosted his presidential prospects for 2024, despite what former President Donald Trump decides.

Credit for such powerful victories goes mainly to the massive migration of voters from other states to Florida, and its exploding Hispanic communities. Democrats had erroneously hoped that Hispanics might vote for their candidates. It was the opposite. Miami-Dade and Palm Beach counties, which had been reliably Democratic for decades, flipped. DeSantis is the first Republican to win Miami-Dade in 20 years.

In his victory speech Tuesday night, DeSantis electrified the crowd at his headquarters when he declared, "Florida is where the woke agenda goes to die." He blamed that agenda for people leaving liberal states and coming to what he called "the promised land."

He said he kept his promises to voters when it came to COVID-19 and reopening schools and businesses. "Freedom's here to stay," he shouted to wild applause.

It could have been a speech launching a presidential campaign, which is likely to come later, depending on whether Trump's legal troubles affect his presidential prospects. DeSantis slammed "failed leadership in Washington."

Florida also demonstrated how to run an election. Florida has a "find my ballot" app that allows voters to track their ballots, like one can track a letter or package, or a checked bag on an airline. The software tells voters when their ballot arrives at the counting station, when it is opened and when it is counted. This process greatly enhances election integrity and faith that the outcome is legitimate, protecting against conspiracy theories. Florida should be the model for the nation. They've come a long way from "hanging chads" in the 2000 presidential election.

When all votes are counted and if Republicans win a slim House majority (whether they win the Senate or not), they can still thwart much of the Biden administration's agenda. Will Democrats track toward the middle and embrace moderation, instead of wokeness? Will the hard left allow them?

The media, which is there to support Democrats in defeat and cheer them in victory, is unlikely to change. Failure to lock up violent criminals is also likely to continue. That's because politicians whose policies have contributed to crime -- such as winning Gov. Kathy Hochul of New York -- are unlikely to do much to contain it since she is in denial about the problem.

People who are happy or breathing easier because of the outcome of this election now own its consequences. Inflation, high gas and food prices, and an open border are likely to continue. Republicans have a lot of work to do to change voter attitudes. Maybe another two years of suffering will do it, assuming the country survives.

Tribune Content Agency

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