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Wednesday, November 11, 2026Nov 11

With economic outlook hazy, Fed likely to leave rates alone

FILE - In this Thursday, Aug 25, 2016, file photo, Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen arrives for a reception on the opening night of the annual invitation-only conference of the world's central bankers, at Jackson Lake Lodge in Grand Teton National Park, north of Jackson Hole, Wyo. The Federal Reserve is scheduled to deliver an update on interest rates and its outlook on the economy Wednesday, Sept. 21. The remarks will follow a two-day meeting of the central bank's policymakers. (AP Photo/Brennan Linsley, File)
FILE - In this Thursday, Aug 25, 2016, file photo, Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen arrives for a reception on the opening night of the annual invitation-only conference of the world's central bankers, at Jackson Lake Lodge in Grand Teton National Park, north of Jackson Hole, Wyo. The Federal Reserve is scheduled to deliver an update on interest rates and its outlook on the economy Wednesday, Sept. 21. The remarks will follow a two-day meeting of the central bank's policymakers. (AP Photo/Brennan Linsley, File) FILE - In this Thursday, Aug 25, 2016, file photo, Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen arrives for a reception on the opening night of the annual invitation-only conference of the world's central bankers, at Jackson Lake Lodge in Grand Teton National Park, north of Jackson Hole, Wyo. The Federal Reserve is scheduled to deliver an update on interest rates and its outlook on the economy Wednesday, Sept. 21. The remarks will follow a two-day meeting of the central bank's policymakers. (AP Photo/Brennan Linsley, File)

WASHINGTON (AP) – Again and again in recent months, the Federal Reserve has signaled that it’s edging closer to resuming the interest-rate hikes it began in December.

It just doesn’t seem to be there quite yet.

When the Fed ends its latest policy meeting Wednesday, it’s expected to leave the short-term rate it controls at the low level where it’s been for 10 months. In the view of most economists, the Fed wants more time to assess the health of the U.S. economy, the risks from overseas and the prospect that low inflation will soon reach the central bank’s 2 percent target rate.

Many think the next rate increase will come in December.

Until recently, many Fed watchers had thought a rate hike was likely this week. They believed that the Fed, starting with a late-August speech by Chair Janet Yellen in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, was preparing investors for an imminent rate increase. In that speech, Yellen suggested that given the job market’s solid gains and the Fed’s outlook for the economy and inflation, “the case for an increase in the federal funds rate has strengthened in recent months.”