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Wednesday, November 11, 2026Nov 11

Mortgage rates poised to rise as U.S. Treasury yields surge

FILE - A for sale sign stands in front of a house, Tuesday, Oct. 6, 2020, in Westwood, Mass. The long period of ultra-low rates on home loans may be over. Long-term bond yields, which can influence interest rates on mortgages, have climbed this month amid expectations of ramped-up U.S. government stimulus spending, economic growth and higher inflation. (AP Photo/Steven Senne, File)
FILE - A for sale sign stands in front of a house, Tuesday, Oct. 6, 2020, in Westwood, Mass. The long period of ultra-low rates on home loans may be over. Long-term bond yields, which can influence interest rates on mortgages, have climbed this month amid expectations of ramped-up U.S. government stimulus spending, economic growth and higher inflation. (AP Photo/Steven Senne, File) FILE - A for sale sign stands in front of a house, Tuesday, Oct. 6, 2020, in Westwood, Mass. The long period of ultra-low rates on home loans may be over. Long-term bond yields, which can influence interest rates on mortgages, have climbed this month amid expectations of ramped-up U.S. government stimulus spending, economic growth and higher inflation. (AP Photo/Steven Senne, File)

The long period of record-low rates on home loans could soon be over.

Long-term bond yields, which can influence interest rates on mortgages and other consumer loans, are climbing this month amid expectations of higher U.S. government spending on pandemic relief and an economy recovery as more people get vaccinated for COVID-19.

The yield on the 10-year Treasury briefly hit 1.18% earlier this week. That’s up from less than 0.90% at the start of the year and the highest since last March. Yields rise when bond prices fall.

Economists forecast further modest mortgage rate rises this year. While that’s unlikely to derail the red-hot housing market, it could make it tougher for would-be homebuyers.

“As bright as the prospects are for the economy after vaccines have reached critical mass, there are still a lot of economic sore spots that we have to work through between now and then,” said Greg McBride, chief financial analyst at Bankrate. “It’s still going to be a very low-rate environment, even for long-term rates like mortgages.”