How Hurricane Irma became the second-strongest Atlantic hurricane on record; a question and answer

How Hurricane Irma became the second-strongest Atlantic hurricane on record; a question and answer

September 9th, 2017 by Associated Press in Breaking News

In this geocolor image GOES-16 satellite image taken Friday, Sept. 8, 2017, at 11:45 UTC, sunlight, from the right, illuminates Hurricane Irma as the storm approaches Cuba and Florida. Cuba evacuated tourists from beachside resorts and Floridians emptied stores of plywood and bottled water after Hurricane Irma left at least 20 people dead and thousands homeless on a devastated string of Caribbean islands and spun toward Florida for what could be a catastrophic blow this weekend. (NOAA via AP)

Photo by The Associated Press /Times Free Press.

Hurricane Irma, a Category 5 storm, has already made history as one of the most powerful Atlantic hurricanes on record.

Unleashing 185-mph winds and torrential rainfall, Irma has already caused death and destruction on small islands in the Caribbean and was expected to strike Florida early Sunday. States of emergency have already been declared in Puerto Rico, the U.S. Virgin Islands, Florida and South Carolina.

Here is a breakdown on hurricane strengths and how Hurricane Irma gained power.

Question: What does a Category 5 storm mean?

A: When meteorologists try to determine the strength of a hurricane and its potential damage to infrastructure, they rely on the Saffir-Simpson ranking. It is a scale, from 1 to 5, based on a hurricane's sustained wind speed. Here are the categories and their potential for damage, according to the National Hurricane Center:

Category 1: Winds range from 74 mph to 95 mph, with the potential to uproot trees and damage roofs and power lines.

Category 2: Winds become "extremely dangerous," reaching up to 110 mph. Damage to property is also much more likely and power outages are expected.

Category 3: Considered major storms, Category 3 hurricanes are likely to produce "devastating damage." Wind speed could go up to 129 mph, resulting in damaged buildings and power outages that could last for days.

Category 4: Wind speeds can go up to 156 mph. "Catastrophic damage" is expected in areas hit hardest. Hurricane Harvey was a category 4 storm when it struck Texas.

Category 5: Storms with winds of 157 mph or higher are ranked in this category. Hurricane Andrew, one of the most destructive hurricanes recorded, was a Category 5 storm that struck Florida in 1992, killing 25 people and destroying 28,000 homes.

Q: What makes Hurricane Irma so powerful?

A: Hurricane season officially lasts from June 1 to Nov. 30, but the peak of the season, from mid-August to early September, is when strong hurricanes such as Irma typically occur.

There are certain ingredients needed to create a powerful hurricane.

Part of that perfect recipe includes warm ocean water and little wind shear — which refers to changing wind direction. For instance, the more strong winds change direction, the more they prevent a hurricane from organizing. Less change in wind direction allows the storm to brew and gain strength, according to John Brost, meteorologist with the National Weather Service.

A hurricane also gains strength when it passes over warm water in deep parts of the ocean, and waters have been warm this season.

Another reason for Hurricane Irma's strength: Nothing has stood in its way to disrupt it, such as dry air, according to Brian Haus, a professor at the University of Miami's Rosentstiel School of Marine and Atmospheric Science.

"When dry air comes into the storm, it impedes transfer of heat," Haus said. Heat can allow a hurricane "to grow quickly and become powerful."

The speed in which a hurricane travels also affects its intensity. Hurricane Irma is moving at around 16 mph, slowly enough to utilize the energy it gets from the warm water and intensify before it hits land, Brost said.

Q: How does Hurricane Irma compare to other storms?

A: With all those ingredients in place, Hurricane Irma's winds have peaked at 185 mph, making it the second-strongest Atlantic hurricane on record. Hurricane Allen in 1980 was the strongest Atlantic hurricane, with winds reaching 190 mph.

Another indicator about how strong a hurricane can become is the pressure at the eye of the storm. The lower the pressure, the stronger the hurricane.

Hurricane Irma ranks at the 12th-lowest pressure of all time for hurricanes in the Atlantic Ocean, and Hurricane Allen ranked as fifth, said Brost. Hurricane Wilma in 2005 came in at No. 1 in terms of lowest pressure. Wilma, a Category 3, led to around $20 billion in damage.

Q: What role does climate change play in these storms?

A: It is hard to pin down the relationship between global climate change and any given storm.

Storms are short-lived and relatively rare, meaning there isn't a whole lot of data from which to detect trends and draw conclusions. A federal report released this year as part of the National Climate Assessment said that when it came to looking back at past storm data, "the trend signal has not yet had time to rise above the background variability of natural processes."

But scientists agree that rising sea temperatures will likely increase the number of "very intense" storms in the future.

The federal report said that computer modeling indicates an increase in tropical cyclone intensity in a warmer world.

That is because when the ocean's surface temperature rises, the atmosphere's ability to hold moisture goes up. So a hurricane moving over a warmer ocean will be able to bring in more moisture over land — increasing the chances of heavier rainfall and flooding.

Michael Mann, a climate scientist at Pennsylvania State University, wrote about this in an op-ed after Hurricane Harvey hit Houston.

"Harvey was almost certainly more intense than it would have been in the absence of human-caused warming, which means stronger winds, more wind damage and a larger storm surge," he wrote.


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