By the time you read this, there's a good chance that we'll have already stopped talking about former President Donald Trump's notorious "blood bath" comment of March 16.
Most provocative Trumpian tropes have a short half-life. They're quickly eclipsed by subsequent remarks, such as Trump's musings about cutting Social Security and Medicare and his recent assertion that Jews who vote Democratic hate Israel and hate Judaism.
Still, the "blood bath" remark is worth a column's consideration: Here's the expression in question:
"Now if I don't get elected, it's going to be a blood bath for the whole — that's going to be the least of it. It's going to be a blood bath for the country."
Trump apologists quickly pointed out that the context of his remark involved the automobile industry and argued that the reference was metaphorical. But that sounds like a hasty, not entirely convincing, rationalization.
The statement, in fact, could be parsed in a much darker way, as well, but there's not much point in doing so: What's important is not what Trump says or means or thinks he means, but what his most devoted supporters actually hear.
On Jan. 6, for example, after Trump falsely asserted that the election had been stolen, he challenged his followers to march to the capitol and "... fight like hell and if you don't fight like hell, you're not going to have a country anymore."
What did he mean?
He might have meant something like: March to the Capitol grounds and make speeches opposing the certification of the election; try to contact your representatives and urge them to vote against certification; wave banners advocating "Stop the Steal"; set up tables and urge passersby to sign petitions against certification.
But whatever Trump meant by "fight," thousands of his supporters understood him to mean that they should break into the Capitol, assault police officers, occupy the Senate chamber and rifle through desks, do harm to Nancy Pelosi if they could find her and threaten to hang Mike Pence.
If Trump's words were misinterpreted by the insurrectionists, he didn't appear to be horrified by the violence.
We could note other examples: During a debate in the 2016 campaign, Trump was challenged to disavow the white supremacist Proud Boys. The best he could come up with was "Stand back and stand by." What he meant is unclear, but I'm guessing that the Proud Boys heard "Stand by" more clearly than "Stand back." Indeed, they were ready on Jan. 6.
Does Trump really believe that Democrats are "vermin"? That the media is "scum." That some women are "dogs." That many nations inhabited by people of color are "s—-hole" countries?
That's the problem with careless language and ill-considered metaphors. Once you express them you lose control, and they take on the meanings and connotations that your hearers apply to them.
If Trump really meant a metaphorical "blood bath" that is confined to the automobile industry, he's depending heavily on his audience to make that nuanced distinction and forgetting that many of them are already prepared and eager to "fight." What his supporters hear is more important than what he says.
Given that "blood bath" is only one of an extended set of belligerent terms that Trump is fond of using; given that recent polls indicate that up to 39% of Republicans believe that political violence is sometimes justified and necessary; and given that Trump has convinced his supporters that the existence of our nation is at stake, it's naïve to believe that this election will end peacefully.
It's not clear that Trump is advocating for a literal "blood bath," but given his behavior on Jan. 6, it's clear that he's open to one. Brace yourself.